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By Dr. Mark Guishard Director, Bermuda Weather Service

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Amplitudes and wavelengths stay fairly constant. „ However, sea states can still be quite significant in tropical systems... 4 Before and After the Hurricane Richelieu Apartments Pass Christian, MS Hurricane Camille 17 Aug 1969 Source: NOAA 4 4 Katrina Storm Surge Model Source: LSU 4 Katrina Storm Surge Map Source: FEMA 5 5) A Hurricane is not always a Hurricane… „ Subtropical storms – about half of the storms we get in hurricane season are not even named by NHC Source: Guishard, 2007 5 Source: UW-CIMSS October 2001: Subtropical Storm ⇒ Hurricane Karen 989 mb Source: BWS 5 Winter Winter Winter Winter 40 Fabian Bermuda daily average over 5 years 50„ In Bermuda, more gales come from marine winter winds storms than from hurricanes 60 Florence 30 20 10 Source: BWS 0 1/1/2007 12/1/2006 11/1/2006 10/1/2006 9/1/2006 8/1/2006 7/1/2006 6/1/2006 5/1/2006 4/1/2006 3/1/2006 2/1/2006 1/1/2006 12/1/2005 11/1/2005 10/1/2005 9/1/2005 8/1/2005 7/1/2005 6/1/2005 5/1/2005 4/1/2005 3/1/2005 2/1/2005 1/1/2005 12/1/2004 11/1/2004 10/1/2004 9/1/2004 8/1/2004 7/1/2004 6/1/2004 5/1/2004 4/1/2004 3/1/2004 2/1/2004 1/1/2004 12/1/2003 11/1/2003 10/1/2003 9/1/2003 8/1/2003 7/1/2003 6/1/2003 5/1/2003 4/1/2003 3/1/2003 2/1/2003 1/1/2003 12/1/2002 11/1/2002 10/1/2002 9/1/2002 8/1/2002 7/1/2002 6/1/2002 5/1/2002 4/1/2002 3/1/2002 2/1/2002 1/1/2002 Recap „ El Niño – Natural climate pattern – Reduces hurricane formation in the Atlantic… – …by changing the shear pattern in the main development region.

Amplitudes and wavelengths stay fairly constant. „ However, sea states can still be quite significant in tropical systems... 4 Before and After the Hurricane Richelieu Apartments Pass Christian, MS Hurricane Camille 17 Aug 1969 Source: NOAA 4 4 Katrina Storm Surge Model Source: LSU 4 Katrina Storm Surge Map Source: FEMA 5 5) A Hurricane is not always a Hurricane… „ Subtropical storms – about half of the storms we get in hurricane season are not even named by NHC Source: Guishard, 2007 5 Source: UW-CIMSS October 2001: Subtropical Storm ⇒ Hurricane Karen 989 mb Source: BWS 5 Winter Winter Winter Winter 40 Fabian Bermuda daily average over 5 years 50„ In Bermuda, more gales come from marine winter winds storms than from hurricanes 60 Florence 30 20 10 Source: BWS 0 1/1/2007 12/1/2006 11/1/2006 10/1/2006 9/1/2006 8/1/2006 7/1/2006 6/1/2006 5/1/2006 4/1/2006 3/1/2006 2/1/2006 1/1/2006 12/1/2005 11/1/2005 10/1/2005 9/1/2005 8/1/2005 7/1/2005 6/1/2005 5/1/2005 4/1/2005 3/1/2005 2/1/2005 1/1/2005 12/1/2004 11/1/2004 10/1/2004 9/1/2004 8/1/2004 7/1/2004 6/1/2004 5/1/2004 4/1/2004 3/1/2004 2/1/2004 1/1/2004 12/1/2003 11/1/2003 10/1/2003 9/1/2003 8/1/2003 7/1/2003 6/1/2003 5/1/2003 4/1/2003 3/1/2003 2/1/2003 1/1/2003 12/1/2002 11/1/2002 10/1/2002 9/1/2002 8/1/2002 7/1/2002 6/1/2002 5/1/2002 4/1/2002 3/1/2002 2/1/2002 1/1/2002 Recap „ El Niño – Natural climate pattern – Reduces hurricane formation in the Atlantic… – …by changing the shear pattern in the main development region.

However, sea states can still be quite significant in tropical systems... 4 Before and After the Hurricane Richelieu Apartments Pass Christian, MS Hurricane Camille 17 Aug 1969 Source: NOAA 4 4 Katrina Storm Surge Model Source: LSU 4 Katrina Storm Surge Map Source: FEMA 5 5) A Hurricane is not always a Hurricane… „ Subtropical storms – about half of the storms we get in hurricane season are not even named by NHC Source: Guishard, 2007 5 Source: UW-CIMSS October 2001: Subtropical Storm ⇒ Hurricane Karen 989 mb Source: BWS 5 Winter Winter Winter Winter 40 Fabian Bermuda daily average over 5 years 50„ In Bermuda, more gales come from marine winter winds storms than from hurricanes 60 Florence 30 20 10 Source: BWS 0 1/1/2007 12/1/2006 11/1/2006 10/1/2006 9/1/2006 8/1/2006 7/1/2006 6/1/2006 5/1/2006 4/1/2006 3/1/2006 2/1/2006 1/1/2006 12/1/2005 11/1/2005 10/1/2005 9/1/2005 8/1/2005 7/1/2005 6/1/2005 5/1/2005 4/1/2005 3/1/2005 2/1/2005 1/1/2005 12/1/2004 11/1/2004 10/1/2004 9/1/2004 8/1/2004 7/1/2004 6/1/2004 5/1/2004 4/1/2004 3/1/2004 2/1/2004 1/1/2004 12/1/2003 11/1/2003 10/1/2003 9/1/2003 8/1/2003 7/1/2003 6/1/2003 5/1/2003 4/1/2003 3/1/2003 2/1/2003 1/1/2003 12/1/2002 11/1/2002 10/1/2002 9/1/2002 8/1/2002 7/1/2002 6/1/2002 5/1/2002 4/1/2002 3/1/2002 2/1/2002 1/1/2002 Recap „ El Niño – Natural climate pattern – Reduces hurricane formation in the Atlantic… – …by changing the shear pattern in the main development region.

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5 Things You Never Knew About Hurricanes by Dr. Mark Guishard Director, Bermuda Weather Service


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